Old Dominion Freight Stock Performance

ODFL Stock  USD 193.88  7.51  3.73%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Old Dominion holds a performance score of 19. The company holds a Beta of -0.62, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Old Dominion are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Old Dominion is likely to outperform the market. Please check Old Dominion's downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Old Dominion's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Dominion Freight are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite abnormal technical and fundamental indicators, Old Dominion disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
 
Old Dominion dividend paid on 17th of December 2025
12/17/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow433.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-751.2 M

Old Dominion Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  13,406  in Old Dominion Freight on November 25, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  5,987  from holding Old Dominion Freight or generate 44.66% return on investment over 90 days. Old Dominion Freight is currently generating 0.6407% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.646% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than Old, and 88% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Old Dominion is expected to generate 3.51 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.51 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.24 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Old Dominion Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Old Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 193.88 90 days 193.88 
about 10.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Old Dominion to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.07 (This Old Dominion Freight probability density function shows the probability of Old Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Old Dominion Freight has a beta of -0.62. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Old Dominion are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Old Dominion Freight is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Old Dominion Freight has an alpha of 0.6697, implying that it can generate a 0.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Old Dominion Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Old Dominion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Old Dominion Freight. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
190.55193.14195.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
174.54206.17208.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
190.10192.68195.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
121.93193.92265.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Old Dominion. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Old Dominion's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Old Dominion's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Old Dominion Freight.

Old Dominion Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Old Dominion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Old Dominion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Old Dominion Freight, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Old Dominion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.67
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.62
σ
Overall volatility
18.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Old Dominion Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Old Dominion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Old Dominion Freight can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Old Dominion Freight has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Old Dominion Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Old Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Old Dominion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Old Dominion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding209.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments120.1 M

Old Dominion Fundamentals Growth

Old Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Old Dominion, and Old Dominion fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Old Stock performance.

About Old Dominion Performance

By examining Old Dominion's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Old Dominion's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Old Dominion is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina. Old Dominion operates under Trucking classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 24586 people.

Things to note about Old Dominion Freight performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Old Dominion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Old Dominion Freight help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Old Dominion Freight has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Old Dominion's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Old Dominion's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Old Dominion's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Old Dominion's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Old Dominion's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Old Dominion's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Old Dominion's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Old Dominion's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Old Dominion's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Old Dominion's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Old Dominion's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Old Dominion Freight is a strong investment it is important to analyze Old Dominion's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Old Dominion's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Old Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Old Dominion Freight. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Old Dominion. Anticipated expansion of Old directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Old Dominion assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate Old Dominion Freight using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Old Dominion's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Old Dominion's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Old Dominion's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Old Dominion should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Old Dominion's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.